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FEASIBILITY & FINANCE

Sale vs hold-to-rent: running both numbers

How to model a project as both an outright sale and a rental fallback.

5 MIN READ
SHORT ANSWER

Comparing sale versus hold-to-rent for a Nigerian development means modelling achievable sale price and timeline against rental yield and break-even for the same asset, so the feasibility check isn't dependent on one exit strategy working out. Locations or product types with more sale-timing uncertainty typically warrant running both numbers before committing.

Not every project needs both numbers run, but any project with real uncertainty about sale price or timeline benefits from having a rental fallback modelled before ground is broken, not after a sale falls through.

What to compare

  • Achievable sale price and realistic time to sell, versus rental yield and time to first tenant.
  • Break-even point under a rental scenario, and how it compares to projected profit under a sale scenario.

See this against your own project's numbers

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Questions people also ask

What rental yield makes holding a project worth it over selling?

There's no single threshold that applies everywhere, it depends on the break-even point for that specific asset under a rental scenario compared against the projected profit from a sale. Running both numbers for the actual project is what makes the comparison meaningful.

Can I decide between sale and hold later, or does it lock in early?

Modelling both scenarios early keeps the decision open rather than locking it in. A project built and marketed with only a sale exit in mind is harder to pivot to a rental strategy later if the sale doesn't move as expected.

Which project types benefit most from running both numbers?

Locations or product types with more sale-timing uncertainty warrant it most, since that's exactly where a rental fallback protects against an exit that doesn't come through on schedule.

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